May 142017
 

Just over a third of voters, 35 percent, say Trump was right to remove Comey as FBI director this week, the poll shows. But roughly the same share, 33 percent, say Trump should have allowed Comey to continue as FBI director. Another 32 percent said they didn’t know or had no opinion.

Here is the rub – the sample is once again “Registered Voters”. Registered voter polls lean 2-3 points to the left for reasons I have stated many times about the demographics of low propensity voters.

It is Women +7, which may be off about 1-2%, causing a fractional lean to the left as well.

The overall sample is 34% Dem, 31% Republican and 35% Independent. The over-sampling of independents could also cause a skew.

It is my opinion that this poll is fairly legitimate and may have a mild (3-5%) leftist lean.

Overall, 37 percent of voters describe Trump’s decision to remove Comey as “appropriate,” and 34 percent describe it as “inappropriate.” (The difference between these two figures is not statistically significant.) Nearly three-in-10 voters, 29 percent, have no opinion.

The thing I find fascinating is that Trump’s Approval Rating is 45-47. It is my opinion that Trump’s number will be 8-10 points lower than it really is. It is a similar dynamic to the election with “Shy Trump Voters”. I personally have known people that are amongst that group. Remember, the violence and the media cause a lot of people to just tell pollsters what they think they want to hear and then move on.

Also, remember Trump was at 60% disapproval or worse when he got elected. 

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