Oct 032017
 

Not to mention that I’d also question the class of it for reasons you will see in a bit.

Public Service Announcement: If you want to donate to a Republican Governor Candidate, you can click here to donate to John Cox.

Mr Cox has also enumerated a specific platform upon which he is running – you can see it for yourself. IT is actually easier to read and shorter in length than the bevy of links that Mr. Allen sent in his fundraising email.

What I know about Mr. Allen? He is a surfer. He is kind of Rico Suave. He obviously needs a new accountant and someone screwed up giving him advice on how to run his campaign.

Somehow the man who would be governor “forgot” to pay $42K in back taxes. While he did self-refer (right before declaring for governor) it makes him look like a surfer dude and not a governor dude.

Dude.

So, like I got this email from some surfer dude inviting me to a soiree and some other dudes house in Santa Ana? And he wants a wad of cash to be there?

But, Like why?

Dude.

There are all these links to newspapers, I mean who reads newspapers anymore? I was like trippin’ out on Tony Hawk’s latest stuff and reading up on the X-Games. Why is this surfer dude trying to be a politician?

Enter your intrepid blogger

Hey Surfer dudes, drop the bong.

Travis Suave thinks you should write him a $1000 check because he posted a list of media stories in his fundraiser invite.

There’s nothing else there.

I am seriously wondering if Travis Allen is thinking twice about his decision to leave AD72, especially now that it is becoming clear that Tyler Diep is a disaster.

In case you are wondering what the rest of the email looks like? I snipped out the RSVP info, because you don’t need it anyway. You can do better things with your hard-earned money like give it to John Cox, take your pet rat to the vet or pay your income taxes on time…

I shrunk the second part to minimize the brain damage it will cause the viewer.

This is what I call a marketing #EPICFAIL. There is no reason why to invest in Travis Allen at all in this email, and my pointing this out is not going to change future emails that much as this pattern has repeated itself.

This looks more like an ego driven move than anything about a serious campaign. Please Travis, just stop now.

Aug 022017
 

I took a press release from the John Cox for Governor Campaign (BTW – The Impact Republicans Endorsed John Cox) and cut and pasted pieces of it to tell the story:

California — A poll conducted last week along with fundraising reports show Republican gubernatorial candidate John Cox in second place.

A poll commissioned by the Cox campaign and conducted by SmithJohnson Research shows Gavin Newsom at 25.2 percent, Cox at 14.1 percent, Antonio Villaraigosa at 12.4 percent, Travis Allen at 9.6 percent, John Chiang at 7.4 percent, Delaine Eastin at 3.2 percent, and 28 percent remaining undecided.

“John Cox has consistently shown the ability to earn a significant percentage of support in every public and private survey released to date,” said Cox senior strategist Wayne Johnson. “These latest results show that even with a second tier GOP spoiler running under 10 percent, Cox is in a strong position to make the top two.”

Cox has raised over $204,000 from over 1,500 individual donors in the second quarter of 2017, in addition to his own $3 million contribution.

In the first six months of 2017 Newsom has raised $5,329,682, Cox has raised $3,205,122, Chiang has raised $2,560,963, Villaraigosa has raised $2,291,747, Eastin has raised $313,037, and Travis Allen has raised $78,403.

“I’m irrevocably committed to this race,” Cox said. “Nineteen states have recently elected Republican business people to governorships, including traditionally Democratic states such as Maryland and Massachusetts – I believe we can do that here. I’m in it to win, and that has been resonating with people throughout California.”

“Californians are tired of the status quo in Sacramento and want honest change,” Cox said. “I’m the only candidate in the race for governor that isn’t a politician and who actually has a real plan to break the special interest money hold on our state capitol and return power to the people.”

The poll listed each candidate along with their likely ballot description and party affiliation. The poll was done through live telephone interviews with 500 likely 2018 primary voters from July 27 through 30. The sampling error is +/- 4.4 percent.

John Cox is a husband, father, businessman and Republican candidate for California Governor in 2018. Born and raised on the south-side of Chicago by a single mother public school teacher, John is a CPA who built his small business from the ground up. He is a longtime government reform advocate and conservative, and is running to eliminate the corrupting influence of special interest money that has made California the highest taxed and regulated state in the nation.

Why is Travis Allen running for Governor? $77K in the bank? This is a worse showing than Tim Donnelly…

The SF Chronicle shows the humiliating position for Mr. Allen. Allen told me to my face that he is done in the Assembly. That’s great, but there are 4 Statewide Races without a Republican in them. Go run for one of those instead of helping the democrats get a D vs D runoff.

Jul 132017
 

Whoops.

We’ve alleged that Travis Allen’s campaign for governor is not serious. People are pointing to the coronation of a successor Tyler Diep as a clear sign that Travis Allen is not going to run for his last three terms in the Assembly.

Stop. Travis Allen has not closed down his Assembly Election Account. We all need to call on Travis Allen to publicly declare that he is not running for Assembly in 2018 and see him formally close that account, then let’s talk about his “merits”.

When you see stuff like his Facebook Page with 308,000 likes, getting 0(!) new likes in a week of campaigning for governor, the term Potemkin Village comes to mind. I’ve seen Travis’ self-promotion for at least the last year on Facebook with thoroughly boosted posts statewide. It does not take long to accumulate page likes if you are spending thousands of dollars on Facebook.

How does a serious candidate for governor get 0 new likes after already having 308K in a week on Facebook? If he only had 5,000, I would get it. This suggests that 90+% of Mr. Allen’s social media followers were attracted with click-bait headlines and/or straight up paid for. This is not real support.

Creating an illusion is a common thing in a campaign.

There is a recent example of an Assemblyman running statewide, endorsing a successor and then filing for re-election to Assembly. Rocky Chavez ran for Senate in 2016, realized he could not raise any money and then filed for re-election to the Assembly. Chavez had endorsed Pete Wilson’s stepson to replace him. That candidate had obtained a slew of other endorsements as well. This is the exact same dynamic with Tyler Diep and Travis Allen.

Will Travis close his Assembly account and publicly declare that he is done in the Assembly? This is the question to get answered before we debate what if any merits Mr. Allen has as a candidate for Governor.

Jul 122017
 

Chad Mayes is the Assembly Republican Permanent Minority Leader. Chad Mayes has made some interesting decisions lately, one of which was tweeting about Harvey Milk Day. Milk is a historical nothing whose claim to fame was being gay and elected in a time when being gay and elected was not fashionable. Another was as tweet about paling around with the Democrat Majority Leader Anthony Rendon who rolls the GOP caucus (and Mayes) like they are not there.

So, I was not surprised to hear that Chad Mayes is attempting to undermine the moderate Democrats who are resisting the MASSIVE Cap and Trade tax increase that Governor Jerry Brown is currently seeking. Apparently a $65 Car tax and $.12 per gallon gas tax to raise $52 Billion is not enough. Chad Mayes is currently working under cover of darkness to “cut a deal” on Moonbeam’s climate debacle. Ostensibly, Mayes will then run to the cameras declaring the GOP to be the party of Conservative “Cap and Trade”.

I have been told that “leadership” has a poll that shows that “Climate Change” is a key issue to reaching the vaunted independent and democrat voters. Apparently Mr. Mayes and his friends in GOP leadership (at least on the Assembly side) think this means killing the farming industry, raising taxes and hammering the already last in the nation business environment down further. Mayes and others in leadership also were the prime movers behind David Hadley’s doomed from the beginning run for Governor of California.

Please note, I’ve had several folks cite my blog in attacks against Charles Munger. Mr. Munger is not responsible for this effort of Mayes, nor did he recruit David Hadley in to the race. (Mr. Munger did spend heavily on Hadley’s Assembly runs and Mr. Hadley is claiming more is coming his way in 2018. Duf Sundheim did the same in 2016, and it never came)

Charles Munger is not the one trying to raise your taxes even further, it is Chad Mayes and the assembly portion of “Republican Leadership”.

The effort behind David Hadley was much broader than Charles Munger and this climate change business is central to it. David Hadley is a Northeastern-Style Liberal Republican, his record as a member of the Assembly is clear on that fact. That breed of Republicans are tree-huggers.

Which leads me to John Cox – check out his release today:

Our goal should not be to cooperate with the Democrat leadership’s war on the middle class, but to counter.

California — Republican candidate for Governor and businessman John Cox issued the following statement on the current Cap and Trade bill (AB-398) being negotiated in the California Legislature:

“A Republican Legislator who tries to put lipstick on the cap-and-trade pig only demonstrates their irrelevance,” Cox said. “Our goal is not to cooperate with the Democrat leadership’s war on the middle class, but to counter because our ideas about growth, jobs and pocket book issues are better than theirs. Cap-and-trade is a tax. Even worse, it’s a hidden tax that consumers pay in price increases on a whole variety of products.”

“Any Legislator that doesn’t get that is placing more value on the Sacramento establishment system, than they do on the people they represent.”

“Higher prices for energy means fewer jobs. Businesses ask why they should stay in a high-cost state like California when there are business-friendly states that would welcome them with open arms. Every time the liberal elite passes a tax, a fee or a regulation that raises consumer prices, people lose their jobs. I don’t want to cooperate with the politicians that are doing that. I want to replace them before even one more small business is forced to close its doors.”

Somehow those that recruited and encouraged David Hadley to run for Governor believe that their polling data means that we need to use the Republican brand to tax our way to prosperity. We did that, remember Arnold?

These folks obviously think that Pat McCrory lost his Governorship in NC over the bathroom bill, it was not. McCrory was a Republican Tax-Raiser. The Nevada GOP got slaughtered in 2016 because they also raised taxes a staggering $2 Billion (think of how small Nevada’s population is).

This argument may be completely moot as it appears that the “Climate Change” caucus in the GOP has two missions, to raise our taxes even more and to stop John Cox. (because David Hadley has a lower chance of winning the Governor’s Race than the San Francisco 49ers do of Winning the 2018 Super Bowl.)

I am not sure what Chad Mayes and the Assembly part of “Republican leadership” are doing. Cap and Trade will cause a million or more to leave the GOP in disgust. It seems like 26% Voter Registration is too high a number for them. It is 10.65% in Massachusetts, perhaps that is the goal?

Jul 062017
 

I have no strong personal animus against David Hadley. I don’t really know him, other than the fact that he is an Eastern Liberal style Republican.

The California Blanket Primary puts all candidates on the same ballot with the top two going in to the fall runoff. With the addition of Travis Allen to the ballot, people started asking if Travis Allen was actually going to file for Governor as he still has three terms left. In order for Mr. Allen to run for Governor, he would have to surrender his remaining 3 terms in the Assembly at appx 100K a year plus benefits.

Travis Allen has also said publicly that neither he nor his initiative are getting supported by the institutional donors or incumbent Partisan Republican Politicians. This further suggests that Mr. Allen’s “Run” for governor is more of a fundraising / publicity stunt. The assemblyman appears to be on his own.

However, David Hadley becomes the third notable Republican in the Governor’s race. Hadley will now split the Republican vote in half (as I am of the belief that Travis will not actually run for Governor), basically ensuring that Antonio Villaraigosa  will join Gay Marriage Gavin Newsome in the runoff.

Hadley is a former assemblymember, having served one term in AD66 before getting drubbed by the feckless Al Muratsuchi. Hadley lost re-election by a stunning 8 percentage points.

It has been clear to me since I decided to endorse John Cox for Governor that the GOP establishment, many of whom I consider friends, were not going to sit idly by and let John Cox be the nominee.

Without hearing this directly from any member of the legislature, it is clear that the nexus is John Cox’ neighborhood legislature initiative that would create a 12,000 member Assembly. Public Polls, the same ones that predicted Donald Trump’s doom and that currently say everyone hates Donald Trump, are also claiming that it is unpopular. These polls give people within the establishment cover for refusing to support Mr. Cox – when it is also clear that the neighborhood legislature is an extreme threat to the status quo.

I learned many years ago that you do not threaten the Status Quo unless you have unlimited resources in order to get around the institutional roadblocks. While many Republican officeholders are good people, the problem is that they want to stay in office the same way and reap the benefits. It is what it is.

David Hadley has no chance of winning Governor. He had told people he was not going to declare until he raised $7.5 Million. I’d lay odds he has $1.98 right now. This is despite the fact that Mr. Hadley himself has told several people that wealthy GOP donor Charles T. Munger, Jr. has committed $1 Million to his effort. I am not sure how that works as one donor can only give about $28K.

Even if Mr. Munger could contribute $1 Million, Mr. Hadley would need another Million to get even with John Cox and then would need the gigantic list of small dollar donors that John Cox has amassed to appear as anything other than a foil.

The concept I have written about several times is called, “Controlled Failure”. I’ve seen it repeat itself many times – the 2018 Governor’s race is again a laboratory for that theory. It appears, if everything I have typed is true, that GOP leadership have recruited an already willing David Hadley in to the governor’s race against John Cox not because he can win (remember his humiliating defeat for re-election in 2016?), but because Hadley will ensure John Cox does not make it in to the runoff. It appears to not matter how much we (the CAGOP) lose, just as long as those directing the Titanic are still in command.

Notice, I have not even been able to discuss how liberal Hadley is or any of the issues of the day in California. I can only draw the conclusion that they don’t matter. Controlling failure does.

Welcome to the race Mr. Hadley. Unless David Hadley raises said $7.5 Million on his way to $20 Million, there is no way anyone can draw any other conclusion than he is trying to help Antonio Villaraigosa in to the fall.

P.S. Hadley is an Eastern Republican in the mold of Susan Collins, did I remember to tell you that?

Jun 152017
 

First – the release from John Cox for Governor:

Sacramento, CA – Republican Businessman John Cox is announcing that he will be contributing his next $2 million into his campaign to be California’s next Governor. Cox made an initial $1 million contribution when announcing his campaign and has also more than 1,300 individual contributors from across California.

 “All over the country fiscally conservative business people have been elected governor in so-called ‘safe Democrat states’ – just look at Maryland, Massachusetts and Illinois, and I think we can do the same here in California in 2018,” noted Cox.

“My campaign is one of ideas and I believe it’s worth the personal investment, because the political class in Sacramento has failed all of us, regardless of our political affiliation. I am a CPA and I can tell you the only way out of the unfunded liabilities they’ve created is economic growth. It’s time to set California’s fiscal house in order.”

Since John Cox announced for Governor he has received endorsements and support from Republican grassroots leaders, local elected officials, volunteers, and small business people across California.

“I am irrevocably committed to this campaign and defeating Gavin Newsom or any other Democrat, and uniting the Republican Party behind a strong ticket for 2018.”

John Cox is a husband, father, businessman and Republican candidate for California Governor in 2018. Born and raised on the south-side of Chicago by a single mother public school teacher, John is a CPA who built his small business from the ground up. He is a longtime government reform advocate and conservative, and is running to eliminate the corrupting influence of special interest money that has made California the high-tax and regulation leader of the nation.

Spoiler #1: San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, he of the recent municipal tax increase.

Spoiler #2: Former Assembly-member David Hadley, he who gutted a recall effort of the current Assembly-member in his home district while allegedly running for governor. This is the same Hadley that got shellacked in AD66 by 8 points despite going in to the race with $1 Million in the bank. (Note, there are 80 Assembly districts in California, I wonder how he’d do in the other 79?)

Spoiler #3: Assembly-Member Travis Allen, noted playboy and maverick. He will have no institutional support as I am told and would thus be attempting to take the fringe mantle from the disaster known as Tim Donnelly. But, hey, he has the keyboard commandos impressed with his facebook ads! All this and Mr. Allen would have to forego his last 3 terms in the Assembly to run.

Spoiler #4: Former Assembly-member Tim Donnelly. Are the voices in his head telling him he has another mission from God? Or was that this week’s campaign “volunteer”?

Spoiler #5: The fact that I have gotten past spoiler #1 and have not mentioned Attorney General, Lt. Gov, Secretary of State, Controller, Treasurer, Insurance Commissioner or Teacher’s Union Rep (aka Superintendent of education) is absurd. The above 4 spoilers could fill some of these positions on the ballot!

Spoiler #6: $3 Million. More than the total fundraising potential of spoilers #1-4.

May 262017
 

If so, why?

Wealthy Businessman John Cox declared his candidacy two months ago and entered the CA Governor Race with a Million Dollars of his own money. (With more coming)

6 Months ago, the talk was that we would have no one credible or funded in any statewide race. Now, the talk is about a near frenetic quest to find a second Republican to run against John Cox for Governor.

Meantime, there is no Lt. Gov Candidate, No Secretary of State Candidate, No Attorney General Candidate, No Controller Candidate for the GOP in 2018.

Yet, the New Majority PAC is trying with all their might to get the unpopular Mayor of San Diego, Kevin Faulconer in to the race. At one time, Faulconer was the liberal Republican star of the party, today his legacy is the Chargers moving to Inglewood. But, he does want to raise taxes on San Diegans!

This does not matter to the New Majority as it appears they have ideological issues with John Cox and have re-ignited their quest to make sure no Republican makes the runoff.

I’ve seen this pattern before, I call it “Controlled Failure”. This is the concept of primary sabotage in order to make sure if a Conservative wins a primary, he loses the general election in order to further the canard of Conservatives being unable to win. (I first saw this in 2002, when GOP leadership poured $10 Million in to a Treasurer Race, while Tom McClintock was leading in Polls for his Controller race… ultimately lost by 27,000 votes. McClintock received token support from GOP leadership)

Meantime, there is no Lt. Gov Candidate, No Secretary of State Candidate, No Attorney General Candidate, No Controller Candidate for the GOP in 2018.

Apparently, it is not just the left of the party that has a suicide pact, witness Tim Donnelly! Yes, the same Tim Donnelly (based on my research) whose personal financial situation is a disaster, has a failing radio show, likes to chase campaign staff, has run 3 failed referenda (where’s the money, Tim?), has a police record and may well be clinical on top of the previous list. (Did I mention that I am not a fan?) He popped up on Breitbart calling John Cox a moderate. Only in a pharmaceutically-induced fantasy, I guess.

Donnelly believes the Democrat Party is in disarray. He believes this is an open door to a Republican Governor. He thinks that should be him, when John Cox wrote himself a check larger than Donnelly’s maximum fundraising potential. Perhaps Tim Donnelly enters the race in order to enjoy being a candidate again for a few months and to get paid.

He is right about the dem party. Despite the all-out assault from the media and the “deep state” Trump keeps winning and Republicans keep winning elections.

But, it seems to be more than Republican Leadership and the New Majority can handle.

Just last night, while celebrating the #BODYSLAM victory of Greg Gianforte in Montana, I received my own un-named anonymous source leak of info. (If it is good for the NYT and WAPO, it is good for this blog, right?)

The leak is a well-placed GOP insider who indicated that Republican leadership are lobbying the rank and file GOP legislators (what few are left), to endorse David Hadley, Kevin Faulconer. (See also anyone not named John Cox).

If the GOP leadership understand what a threat John Cox is, perhaps Tim Donnelly’s therapist should explain the same thing to him?

Meantime, there is no Lt. Gov Candidate, No Secretary of State Candidate, No Attorney General Candidate, No Controller Candidate for the GOP in 2018.

The specific info is that a group of major GOP donors have not stopped trying to find a Governor candidate not named John Cox. David Hadley, a one-term Assemblymember who lost re-election by 8 points in 2016, went to Sacramento to speak to the aforementioned legislators in search of endorsements and money. Note that Hadley is basically out of the running for governor and is lining up a rematch for AD66 instead.

Now, it appears that the flavor of the week is Kevin Faulconer.

Why are they doing this? Is the goal to dilute Republican Votes assuring Antonio Villaraigosa joins fellow far left democrat Gavin Newsome in the runoff? Two well known GOP consultants are on Mr. Villaraigosa’s payroll. Do they believe that recruiting a moderate/liberal Republican and pouring money in to them will get that person in to the runoff? Or, it is another case of “controlling failure”, as in we’d rather lose with our guy than win with someone we can’t control?

I am all about being a team player, having supported many candidates for the GOP I was not thrilled with. However, it becomes difficult to the extreme to be a team player when I have a front row seat to another case of the moderate wing of the Republican Party apparently doing what they accuse the Conservatives of doing.

All the above said, it makes me like John Cox even more.

Did I mention that there is no Lt. Gov Candidate, No Secretary of State Candidate, No Attorney General Candidate, No Controller Candidate for the GOP in 2018?

Apr 242017
 

Source: John Cox for Governor 2018

For Immediate Release

April 23, 2017

Contact:          Tim Rosales

                        916.475.4900

Statewide grassroots organization-California Impact Republicans-endorse and unite behind Businessman John Cox for Governor 2018

San Diego, CA – Republican businessman and candidate for Governor John Cox received a key endorsement Saturday from the statewide Republican grassroots organization, California Impact Republicans.  TheCalifornia Impact Republicans (CIR) is a statewide organization that notes their mission is to recruit candidates, equip leaders, expand the Republican Party and give real support to electing Republicans to office. Cox is the first Republican candidate for statewide office to be endorsed by CIR for the 2018 election.

“Democrats are in control of the Governor’s office and hold supermajorities in both the Assembly and Senate, and California has the highest state income tax in the nation, the highest poverty rate, and not surprisingly ranks dead last in friendliness to business. Their answer is a new $52 billion tax increase,” noted John Briscoe, President of the California Impact Republicans.

“John Cox represents the change and new approach that is desperately needed. He is not only a solid Republican, but John is a small businessman who started from the ground up, creating jobs and working within budgets. His CPA approach will appeal not only to Republicans, but all voters fed up with what is happening in Sacramento.”

With this endorsement, the California Impact Republicans became the first statewide Republican organization to endorse John Cox for Governor, and joins a growing list of Republican grassroots leaders and local elected officials that are supporting his candidacy.

John Cox is a Republican businessman from San Diego who announced his campaign for Governor in February with a message of ending the corrupting influence of special interest money. Information about John Cox and his campaign can be found at JohnCoxforGovernor.com.

The California Impact Republicans (ImpactRepublicans.com) endorsements of candidates are based on a thorough evaluation of several factors including “commitment to expanding the Republican Party, the candidate’s past decisions and actions (if already in office) and commitment to expanding the Republican volunteer base.”