Jul 202017
 

The purpose of this series is to share some of my 20 years of knowledge of the levers of power, the system and the like in order to inform those willing to read how they can really make a serious impact on the California Republican Party. Since it appears there needs to be a major league house-cleaning, (aka Burn it Down) hence the title.

Let’s introduce a few terms to alleviate confusion:

CRP / CAGOP Leadership = The people within the actual volunteer state party apparatus. These would include Jim Brulte the Chairman and Harmeet Dhillon the National Committeewoman. Without getting in to all the board members, etc. The CRP / CAGOP are supposed to manage voter registration drills, participate in trying to elect more Republicans, raising money at the state level, etc.  I used the two most recognizable figures in order to draw the distinction between CAGOP Leadership and…

Republican Leadership = These would include the morally corrupt Assembly Permanent Minority Leader Chad Mayes, and the Senate Minority Leader Pat Bates. There are also assistant leaders and Whips, etc. The distinction is that Republican Leadership are leaders amongst those elected to Partisan Republican Office. They are supposed to promote Republican Principles in Government.

County Central Committees / County Parties = Locally elected County Party Committees that appear on the ballot every 4 years. (Next time is 2020) They are allegedly supposed to raise money for local voter registration, turnout drills, recruit candidates for local office.

Volunteer Clubs = California Impact Republicans (CIR), Young Republicans (CYRF), College Republicans (CR), Congress of Republicans (CCR), Women’s Fed (CWF), California Republican Assembly (CRA), etc. These groups are supposed to function

There are basic functions of the party apparatus that I touched on in the above descriptions, but let’s list them:

  1. Voter Registration
  2. Candidate Recruitment
  3. Raising Money to Support 1 and 2
  4. Promoting Republican Values in the area they are supposed to manage
  5. The State Party Sets the Party Platform

So controlling the party apparatus has benefits for unprincipled people with agendas. The purpose of this series is going to be to discuss who the players are, what they are, how they control (or think they control) outcomes, when various opportunities manifest to interfere with the agenda of and of course why it all matters.

There is another Group of people to discuss, known as the “Third House”. The “Third House” is California’s version of “the Swamp”. The Third house are the political consultants, the lobbyists and the political action committees that wield influence over the legislative process and elections.

Beyond just looking at the surface to see the California Chamber of Commerce, PG&E, Chevron, the Dental PAC, CREPAC (the Realtors) and the Spirit of Democracy, you need to talk about the lobbyists and political consultants that have tentacles across multiple parts of the process.

Conventional wisdom is that you have to have third house support to win elected office. 95% of the time that is true. One of my goals behind writing this series is to help empower the “little people” despite my withering criticism of some of the groups, to take power and control away from the swamp.

I witnessed the power of the Third House first hand when they spent $2 Million helping to save the feckless, ineffective Beth Gaines from the Author of Prop 8, Andy Pugno. They spent the money for three reasons, 1. they could not allow a citizen revolt against an ineffective, incompetent legislator to succeed. 2. Pugno was not someone they could control or negotiate with and 3. Had Pugno won, it would have empowered citizen revolts in other districts. Separate yourself from the personalities and insert any incumbent and challenger in to the mix and the actions of the third house would have been the same.

This theme will repeat as it is my assertion that part of the nexus behind the suicidal decision of Chad Mayes and others to support the largest tax increase in state history is that they knew they would have little, if any risk of loss personally over doing it. The Third House, which will benefit mightily over this action will spend lavishly on the sell-outs, the party apparatus has been taken over by the Third House to a large degree and the volunteer groups, with the exception of CIR (which is very new) are all in decline.

So, on paper, when those that think they are smarter than us were plotting this pre-meditated sell-out of California as they believed they could get away with it.

My personal agenda is clear, I do not seek to profit from this series, in fact, it will likely cost me paid political work in California. I do not seek to control a movement as so many others have tried to.

I want you, the little people to become educated and informed so that you can organize and deal with the scourge that has prostituted Republican Values and led the State of California in to the third world economically. That means, a citizen’s guide to burning down the California Republican Party is for you to use as you see fit to make a real difference.

Stay tuned, this will continue. (PS, share this post liberally as knowledge is power)

Jul 182017
 

If you care about what is left of the CAGOP, stop and take a moment to read.

As most of you know, the Assembly GOP Leadership provided 7 critical votes to pass AB396, a $300B tax increase to extend the onerous Cap and Trade program until 2030. It also empowers the California Air Resources Board with unilateral power to ban products, set utility rates and jack up taxes on energy. It is estimated that a short-term impact of this will be  $.72 a gallon gas tax and doubling of utility bills.

Business groups supported this move as higher prices and artificial scarcity created by over regulation will drive up their profit margins. This is a reason why PG&E dropped in $1 Million to oppose the attempt to overturn AB32 upon which AB396 was based, creating the original global warming regulation hysteria.

Here are your #CAPANDTRAITORS:

In the State Senate, Termed out Senator Tom Berryhill voted yes as he had nothing to lose. He is out of office in 2018. Berryhill was supported with tons of establishment cash in his original election.

The establishment donors who line up behind liberal Republicans that will negotiate on everything are typically: PG&E, Chevron, CREPAC (the Realtors), the Dental PAC and the Spirit of Democracy PAC which is almost entirely funded by one donor Charles Munger.

When you take a closer look at the 7 Republicans that provided the deciding votes in the Assembly, 6 of the 7 received massive financial support from that cartel.

Heath Flora received almost $1 Million in support over San Joaquin County Supervisor Ken Vogel. Vogel was eviscerated with attack ads while the liberal Heath Flora cruised to victory. In his first term, Flora has responded the way his masters hoped he would.

Jordan Cunningham is a liberal Republican in a soft district on the coast. He was bolstered by hundreds of thousands in spending on his behalf.

Catherine Baker sits in a dem-leaning district in Contra Costa County. She openly campaigned as a supporter of Cap and Trade. She has received massive, in excess of $3 Million at this point support from the establishment.

Marc Steinorth sits in a swing district and this vote will likely cost him re-election in 2018. He was helped in to office by about $1 Million, kept in by another Million and I am not sure if $2 Million will save him in 2018 after this.

Rocky Chavez is a liberal Republican in a safe Republican Seat. The establishment spent about $500k trashing Sherry Hodges on his behalf. Chavez took the lead on this issue and likely has alienated a ton of people. It is unclear if he will face any sort of real threat as a result.

Brian Manschein is in San Diego, he voted yes on several procedural items, yet voted no on the final bill. It bears mention as I had been informed he was in the bag for the bill.

Assembly Permanent Minority Leader Chad Mayes was a the ringleader of the effort. He is awash in establishment cash

Lastly, and most perplexing, Devon Mathis voted yes. Mathis stunned the establishment with his victory in the Tulare County District he is in. Of all the above, I would think Mathis would be the most vulnerable to getting defeated in a primary.

Understand that about 30 years ago there was a shift where consultants and the donor community started to take over undue influence in the outcome of legislative elections. Term limits were installed, thus enabling the donors and stakeholders more influence and control of the election outcomes. When you have term limits experience goes out the door.

For those of us left – the only hope of dealing with this stuff is to burn down the CA GOP. Those that supported this measure need to be taken out in their upcoming primaries. Party leaders that did not stand up against AB396 need to be removed.

I’ve heard that many tea parties are fixated on Central Committees – taking over central committees will change little. Hitting the establishment in their pocketbook will. Taking out a few Republican incumbents would be a much better and much more effective way to deliver a message. The Republican establishment know that the Tea Party / Trump supporters are disorganized, like to in-fight a lot and are focused on things that don’t matter. This empowers them to do what they do.

Only when the establishment have a legitimate fear they will actually lose something will it cause change. If any of you reading care about my opinion and are willing to think this through, it is time to rally behind primary opponents for (all, including democrats) those that supported AB396. #BURNITDOWN

Jul 172017
 

Today, the California Republican Party is going to turn the page on two more key principles of our platform. Regulation and Taxes.

We qualified a recall of State Senator Josh Newman based upon a $.12 Gas Tax Increase and as of right now Republican Leaders are preparing to cast the deciding votes to implement a $300 Billion Tax Increase known as Cap and Trade. Amongst the tax increases is $.72 a Gallon on gasoline.

Cap and Trade is not about the environment, it is about wealth transfer, economic control and more money to spend. Apparently, this is the new set of values that the Assembly GOP Leadership believe in as even the CAGOP Board of Directors went in to revolt at the concept.

Remember, if my electricity bill doubles, I still have to pay it. If a poor person on public assistance has a doubling electricity bill I STILL HAVE TO PAY THAT AS WELL. (Wealth Transfer: my taxes pay for other people’s support)

And, yes estimates state that Cap and Trade will double utility bills – which is why morally corrupt utilities like PG&E support this and spent big to prevent a referendum against the original bill AB32. How much will goods and services increase in cost as a result of this? 10%? 15%?

It is also fair to ask if staffers within government have personal conflicts of interest with firms that will benefit from higher prices? Are they advising Assembly Republican leaders in an honest and forthright manner? (and Democrats for that matter) Or, are they acting on behalf of the “side” clients (see also Cal Chamber, PG&E, MFG Association and others that have endorsed Cap and Trade)?

Why would anyone calling themselves fiscally responsible contribute another $300B to a state whose credit rating is one step above Junk Bond Status?

Why would the leadership of a party be so unfaithful to their rank and file?

This gets me back to Assembly Permanent Minority Leader Chad Mayes.

I never write about rumors of sexual impropriety unless I have a blue dress in my hand, or in this case that the issue is so widely known that reporters from major news sources are calling around asking about it.

Chad Mayes is in the middle of brutal divorce as such things go. One of the reasons is that Mr. Mayes is alleged to have been unfaithful (apparently, many times) to his wife. At the “Reformer’s Meeting”, eyewitness sources had Mayes “awfully close” to former Assembly GOP leader and current CA GOP Vice Chair Kristen Olsen.

The rumor of an affair between the two has spread statewide now, even though I have been aware of the rumor for about a year.

When you add that CAGOP Chairman Jim Brulte is going to retire as CAGOP Chair in 2019, this will hand the reigns over to Mrs. Olsen. This pattern should cause a five alarm fire in everyone’s head.

This will put two morally and ethically challenged people in control of 2/3 of the California Republican Party leadership structure. How can two cheating spouses claim any sort of moral clarity over anything?

It is indeed clear that this erstwhile power couple are taking steps to consolidate power and are attempting to be relevant in statewide politics.

If the information my sources have given me proves to be incorrect, in part or in full I will apologize and retract the inaccuracies. If I am right, and I believe everything I have written to be accurate, then the CAGOP is already dead and I have stumbled upon the cause of death after the fact.

Jun 262017
 

A good friend of mine and a die-hard Clippers fan has a family tragedy. Their youngest son, a lifelong Clipper fan declared he is now a Golden State Warrior fan.  Despite widespread household opposition to this tragic moment, it took them some time to digest and understand this move.  I think I get it now as well, as even though I don’t like Basketball and don’t follow it, there is an allegory to real life here.

The kid is tired of losing. He’s tired of the season ending after one or two rounds in the playoffs.  I think I get it, he wants to follow his team all the way into June.  I’ve seen the light. Few are like me, that will stick with a team like the Raiders, despite withering criticism from sissy bandwagon jumping Niner Fans, mentally ill Charger Fans and of course the most decrepit Patriot fans. (Chiefs and Broncos are a combination of the previous… hopefully everyone reading is offended now)

No one likes a loser, which leads me to the California Republican Party’s Clipper problem.

Trying to understand the new “registered voter” numbers, I’m puzzled. How could a state, so red when I was young, now be so blue?  Simple. California republicans are losers and no one likes a loser. Having been around the CAGOP for 20 years, I’ve seen it first hand. I call it controlled failure.

We lose everything. We lose vote battles in the capitol, we lose presidential elections, we lose ballot measures and we even lose statewide office elections.  And we have for some time. And when we win, like Prop 8, the Democrats make us lose.

After so much losing, like the kid abandoning our Clippers, Republican voters have abandoned our party and chosen to be independent.  Who wants to be associated with a loser? Not more than 30% of the electorate. Apparently, a lot in leadership like losing. It has become crystal clear to me that a ton of people in leadership understand that failure does not matter as election after election – the consultant class still get paid and the handful of Republicans in safe seats stay there. As long as they are one of the chosen few remaining GOP electeds, that is the most important.

Many point to Pete Wilson as the reason for our losses and his position on illegal immigration, but he left office almost 20 years ago.  I find it hard to fathom that actions in the last millennium still impact our votes.  The electorate in our country has the attention span of a gnat, so is Wilson really the reason? He’s certainly an easy scapegoat, similar to the national democrats and their lackeys in the media pushing the “Russia Did It Lie” to cover for their humiliation at the ballot box in 2016.

As our party leaders have attempted to become “Republican light” and separate themselves from Washington Republicans, it’s clear, voters don’t know who the Republicans are.  Our state republicans seem confused too.  When our conservative anti-tax legislators vote for tax increases they appeared to have lost the compass.  There is no party unity in the state capitol, in our central committees or on our neighborhood blocks.  No one knows who we are.

However, many of those at the top of leadership are content to see the tent shrink as it becomes easier to control.

When the platform of the Republican party is clear, our state party leaders should stand up for that platform and fight for it.  Instead, our state leaders throw the ball to the other team and help them score.  For instance, last month, Assembly GOP leadership tweeted acknowledgment of Harvey Milk Day, and outraged core Republicans.  Sure, he may be working to find middle ground, but does he really need to hail a king of the opposition?

Prior to that, Assembly minority leader Chad Mayes tweeted his pleasure and excitement in appearing with assembly speaker at an event saying, “any time I get to hang with @Rendon63rd I’m in.”  Can you imagine someone like Nancy Pelosi or Chuck Schumer saying that about the leaders in their chambers?

The ability of Republicans to just flop over and take what’s coming is absurd.  I’m ashamed of the behavior and disgusted that no one has stood up to fight.

When Democrats forcefully removed Senator Janet Nguyen from the State Capitol earlier this year, there was no party outrage, no unified action among our elected officials and no repercussion for the super majority democrats.  What happened to the fight? It was left to a rag-tag bunch of keyboard commandos with little action from the GOP leaders within the building.

The state republicans seem to have taken on the position of the Obama administration foreign policy, that essentially said, if we don’t upset anyone, no one will bother us.  Well I’m getting tired of it.  We abhor Obama but act just like him.  We quote Reagan, and act nothing like him.

There are some very good and strong leaders, but with just three or four shining stars, who can wannabe Republicans relate to and follow?  And by follow, I don’t mean on Twitter, I mean, actually follow.  Who wants to lead us?  Who will take the torch of our party in this state and lead. Genuinely. We need a hero and we need one bad.

This is the thesis for why I endorsed John Cox. He is a disruptor, he is not one of “them”, yet the leadership of controlled failure can not stop trying to find a spoiler just to keep Cox out of the fall 2018 runoff. I am convinced this is the nexus. It is similar to the near panic that ensued after Super Tuesday in 2016 when Donald Trump solidified his grasp on front-runner status. Now that John Cox has gone in for $3 Million of his own money, there is a near melt-down in insider circles.

Back to my Raiders. For 15 years, almost no one had Raiders stuff on their cars or bodies. When I’d see someone, there was a camaraderie, like a Pyrrhic victory through team loyalty… as we kept losing. Unlike the CAGOP, when the Raiders figured out how to draft good players again, they did not go out to find another Quarterback to compete with Derek Carr… they moved on to other positions on the field. (see also Lt. Gov, Sec of State, etc…)

And, much like the Clippers who announced recently an intention to build a new stadium and an effort to re identify who they are, the Republicans need to abandon their current state, re-identify, and start fighting.  I don’t want any more Sesame Street from my Republican politicians I want more “House of Cards” (without the felonies).  I want to see strategy. Fore-thought. Offense. I want brains.  I don’t want my Republican party to play dead any longer.

Now, I see Raiders stuff everywhere and the annoying Niner crap I saw for years is few and far between. The same thing will happen if the CAGOP surrenders control and starts leading, people will be wearing their stuff again as well.

Yes, Republicans need to be more like Democrats, but not in the policy realm.  California Republicans need to fight like Washington democrats and recognize they are indeed in a fight.  Behave like it. And start winning.  Just like the Clippers, our Republicans need to start winning, so everyone can start cheering, again.

Mar 122017
 
I’ve talked to many conservative activists all over the state about the just concluded Central Committee Organizing Meetings. Now that I have had the time to process what happened, let RightonDaily share some inside info based on an amalgamation of what I know about the process used and the reasoning. Please note, I have off the record accounts from a variety of people. You can feel free to regard this as fake news if you like as I will not burn my sources.

It is my understanding that $1.7 Million Plus was spent in roughly 40 counties on mail and slate mail cards in order to influence the outcomes of Central Committee elections. GOP mega-donor Charles T Munger, Jr. largely financed the effort. This I did see on campaign finance filings.

Based on what I have read/seen, it appears that Mr. Munger and a group of smaller donors spent something like $10 million between them on a variety of causes and issues in 2016 alone out of the Spirit of Democracy PAC. This I did see on campaign filings.

There are handful of consultants on retainer at the behest of both Republican Leadership and his independent expenditure committee that give input in to decisions regarding spending. This of course allows those on the payroll to inject their own personal bias in to the recommendations. I only have circumstantial evidence and anonymous testimony from people to validate this claim.

In Butte County, the personal bias of a consultant was clear. The Chairman Mike Zuccolillo was singled out because the Butte GOP allowed a primary challenger to Doug LaMalfa to speak at an event. It got blown out of proportion, money flowed in and it culminated with a disastrous organizational meeting in December. Some people I consider friends ended up on the short end of the stick. Mike Zuccolillo was a well respected county chairman within the GOP. The nexus for this was basically one man that drew targets on a group of people he did not like in favor of legislative staff and the Congressman’s family. It is the opinion of this blogger that people in GOP leadership a hundred or more miles away did not have their own eyes on the ground and the decisions were made in a vacuum.

I feel for those on Butte, because at least when $100k was spent going after me (and others in Placer) in 2012, I had been paid by Andy Pugno in his attempt to unseat Beth Gaines. All Butte did was let Joe Montes speak! I earned the revenge of GOP Leadership because I actively attempted to (GASP!) take out a feckless loser of an incumbent. I do not regret that decision at all.

There were several other counties where money was spent and the nexus was not as clear as political consultant revenge. For example, the moribund Sacramento Central Committee was gutted. Good long time activists of all stripes were blown out in favor of legislative staff and political consultants.

The new chair is a donor. Despite having a 3-1 advantage in votes, the consultants and staffers that won election ran a brutal organizational meeting that was scripted and ended up being a 20 minute jam-down. This is never a smart thing to do when your majority is that large, just do a 2/3 vote to torch debate, don’t brow-beat people. Worse, they massacred stalwarts of the local GOP, as effective volunteers were annihilated along with the bad actors. It is the opinion of this blogger that if you have leadership that has lost their ability to lead, you confront them and give them a chance to resign before running them over with a steamroller. Roger Canfield, Carl Burton and others were discarded. You don’t strip people of their dignity after years of service.

In Riverside and LA County – several bad actors were wiped off of their Central Committees. The San Bernardino Central Committee was almost completely turned over. I don’t know all the players in those tilts, but I do know that the winners and losers were across ideological lines. One Assembly District Cent Com election in LA saw two guys I know to be psychos (both liked to launch anonymous internet attacks, one got a pot lawyer to sue the current Riverside GOP Chairman and lost badly) ousted from that Cent Com.

This is what I do believe: Republican Leadership are desperate to try to get a handle on the dysfunction in Central Committees, volunteer groups and the State Party. As such, they attempt to spend a lot of money to exert control over the process. They just so happen to have a mega-donor. People think it is Mr. Munger making the decisions on his own, no. People think Mr. Munger is targeting conservatives only, no. Don’t use Charles Munger as a straw man, he has a lot of money, but he is not a lone wolf.

I think the approach that was and has been used is wrong. However, seeing the behavior of the Tea Party Caucus and the CRA at the just concluded CRP Convention certainly validates the tact that the CA GOP leadership is taking. But, spending insane amounts of money in 40+ counties creates a permanent class of the aggrieved. Having a small group of people making decisions about party leadership only reinforces the stereotype about the GOP being the party of old, rich guys.

These people (the Tea Party Caucus and the CRA) opposed both the gay guys and the conservative guys from getting chartered. I watch them disrupt floor sessions, attack leadership on social media, blogs, emails, etc. It is the same concept as the content of this blog no one reads but everyone seems to know what’s on. There are consequences to throwing bombs! People want to “get” me all the time I guess the TPCC leadership and CRA get to join the club of targets.

They (the CRA and the Tea Party Caucus) are also fighting to keep the CA GOP tent small, a conclusion that is easy to draw from what they have been doing. It makes it really hard to be sympathetic to those guys when I hear stories from counties all over the north state about jam down leadership meetings. The Jam Downs are Wrong. The Disruption is wrong. No wonder why I can’t sort this mess out…

I am personally ideologically aligned with the Tea Party. Before an inmate uprising in the CRA Asylum, I was an officer of that group and was expelled for life for amongst other things not being Conservative enough. That is just insane, if I am a liberal than most Republicans are flaming communists.

The sad fact is that many in the GOP Tea Party Caucus desire ideological purity over everything, which is why they continue to fawn over proven frauds like Tim Donnelly. This sort of un-discerning and unstable behavior again validates repeatedly the purges brought by CA GOP leadership. They have got to stop making it so easy for establishment types to paint them as the crazies.

I have a lot of friends, who are really good people that also got purged. This is where the leadership are dead wrong. They were not doing their homework the way they should have been and were not out recruiting complete slates of candidates. In other cases, they filed seats with legislative staff who are beholden to their bosses and are not activists at all. As a result, you have some Central Committees that are a bizarre mix of people. This is the case in Placer where Chairman Dennis Revell won by one vote and the other officers, aligned against him all won by 1-3 votes. It is the opinion of this blogger that people whose paycheck comes from the Government as a public employee should not be allowed to serve on a County Party Committee regardless of how conservative they are or how much I like them personally.

I had gone in to the weekend of the CRP convinced that CA GOP leadership were completely wrong for intervening in Central Committee elections. I also thought the Elected leaders were mostly wrong. Then I saw Steve Frank, Thomas N Hudson and others in action and had in front of my face as another case study for why the “leadership” did what they did.

The lack of clarity is infuriating and is indeed a disaster in some areas and a definite gain in others for the future of the CA GOP. There are a lot of people to blame for it. There are a lot of people hurt by it. Meantime, the CAGOP is at 27% and sliding. From where I sit, there is a ton of blame to spread around.

I am tired of seeing people fight to be right. Why not put a sock in it, register some voters and win some elections? Then, maybe “Leadership” would not freak out and spend a ton of money? Maybe leadership should have some two-way communication with elements of the CA GOP they don’t now so well and maybe good people would not get purged?

Just one blogger and veteran of many unnecessary wars asking some questions here.

Jan 232017
 

Will Thomas N Hudson roll for another Term as CRA President or not?

This is the question swirling around the CRA political toilet bowl. Or, will Tim Thiesen smoke him?

Your intrepid blogger has received information that Mr. Hudson has spoken to several people looking for a delegate appointment to the CA GOP. He has told people that his Term as the CRA’s Pol Pot Bellied Information Minister is coming to a late-term abortion in March. This means his automatic appointment to the CA GOP would self-immolate similar to a suicide bomber.

Why would Tom Hudson be rolling to the ends of the earth for a delegate appointment? Is he tired of being king of a leper colony? Does he know he is going to lose re-election? Or, is it something more complicated and related to his current deteriorating life circumstances?

It gets worse, the Chief Bathroom Boy of the CRA, Mark Gardner whose chicken s–t complaint over an email led to our ouster from the CRA has seen his third wife leave him, divorce him and now he is talking openly that he is not long for Fresno. Hopefully, Gardner finds his way to a nerd colony where he can live out his golden years with people as socially retarded as he is.

As written previously on this Blog, Carl Brickey, another long-time CRA officer has become a pariah in political circles as a result of consistently poor performance working on campaigns and his inability to play well with others.

CRA Executive Vice President Craig Alexander, another self-righteous warrior against his own cause, resigned from the CRA’s Board of Directors after losing a pissing match – and still has not been replaced. Is this because Thomas N Hudson knows that he lacks the board votes to install his own person, or has the brain drain from the CRA finally been so severe that the zoo is empty?

Another of the leaders of the effort to oust George and I from the CRA, Wendy Albright, fresh off of a $10,000 fine from the FPPC for being a screw up… is now a resident of Arizona.

Lastly, fresh, juicy information that your intrepid blogger has confirmed from inside sources indicates that the CRA’s Black Widow, Alice Khosravy (who was behind splitting the leadership of the CRA up and playing them off against each other), is moving out of California as well! I am sure the Republican activists of Santa Clarita will be celebrating.

Pictured here is a copy of a mailer for the City Council Campaign of Bob Kellar and Cameron Smythe for Santa Clarita City Council. Previously we in Placer had helped the CRA unit in Santa Clarita (which was later exposed as a colossal fraud) run mail against these guys. The council-member that the CRA had helped elect 8 years ago was unseated by Mr. Smythe. You will see that the CIR endorsement is featured prominently.

So – the two coup leaders from Santa Clarita who led the effort to oust George and I from the CRA to cover up their fraud are both out of California (or soon to be out of California). And, worse, their council candidate Tim BenBoydston was unseated.

I have written sparingly about the CRA as these things usually take care of themselves. The other leader of the Coup, Tim Thiesen is in Fresno, where ironically the CRA Convention is being held. Will the CRA Convention turn a profit? Or will the CRA lose its’ tail?

The CRA lists 51 units on its’ website. I know firsthand that 18 of them are defunct and at least that many more do not meet and may have less than 10 members each. In my estimation, the entire state organization has about 900-1000 members. (85 of whom are on their board of directors)

It is no secret that Mark Gardner (who is still in the Fresno area for the moment) and Tim Thiesen do not like Thomas N Hudson. Is one of them running against him or have they found a sock puppet? With the Black Widow leaving the state, how much faster will the CRA Implode?

How do people in the CA GOP at large see the CRA? Is the CRA still relevant? Should I even bother writing blogs about the CRA anymore?

These are questions your intrepid blogger will find answers to at the political buffet line of disaster.

Jan 082017
 

The Placer GOP is a microcosm of what is going on in the State GOP.

ON Wednesday, the Placer GOP will meet to organize. This includes electing officers.

It is not clear who is going to win. This is a sad irony as in 2012, 100K+ was spent on Mail and Slate Mail Cards attempting to influence the outcome of the election. In 2012, the Tea Party were supported by the consultants and donors over then members of the CRA. In 2016, the Tea Party were largely passed over by the Donors/Consultants in favor of Staffers and a collection of local moderates and country-clubbers.  As a result, there has been paralysis within the Placer GOP since the jihad against the Andy Pugno supporters from 2012 was launched.

Those of us that supported Andy Pugno have been vindicated as the Tea Partiers have turned on their masters because they (even though they have been extremely slow on the uptake) have learned the truth about the Gaines who we rebelled against in 2011. In 2012, Myself and others were punished by the Consultant Oligarchy for not supporting the incumbents.

Today’s Placer GOP fight pits a team of pseudo-conservative malconents, and real conservative activists against a coalition of Legislative Staff, Country-Clubbers and Moderates. It is amazing as the good people on the opposition side are not the leaders of it.

This sort of bizarre dynamic is playing out all over the State. Placer is an exception to the rule as the CRA’s Pol-Pot Bellied Information Minister, the Neurotic Former Placer GOP Chairman and the former Police Detective are actually organized and have a group with regular meetings. This is an amazing accomplishment that I give a non-sarcastic hat-tip to as most groups of conservatives devolve in to pseudo-ideological battles for superiority of purity. California has dozens, if not hundreds of tea party and Conservative Splinter Groups. The Conservative side is not organized as a rule and this is one of the reasons that the Moderates / Consultant Oligarchy control everything (such as it is) in the CAGOP.

There are about 4 moderate groups and one oligarchy of Consultants surrounding one mega-donor Charles Munger.

In 2016, Mr. Munger paid a who’s who of Republican Consultants, many of whom have lost a ton of races in recent years, a ton of money to influence the results of safe-seat primaries and county party elections. Mr. Munger also spent money attempting to save liberal Republican David Hadley, who was defeated. He spent heavily on another moderate, Ling-Ling Chang for State Senate who was defeated by 3,000 votes. There were others, as well.

Amazingly, locally, they spent about $200k on Bill Halldin before coming to the conclusion that Halldin was not going to beat Kevin Kiley. But they spent over $300k attacking Andy Pugno.

Without belaboring the effectiveness of the mail (or lack thereof), etc. that these consultants were paid thousands to run, let’s take a look at the numbers (which are my estimations):

Appx $1.7 Million spent on County Party Races. They mailed in to counties from Shasta all the way to San Diego. The targets were long time known Conservative Activists in many places. In other places, the targets were people that the consultant oligarchy had a personal beef with. I am not sure if Mr. Munger was fully aware of the second nexus when he wrote the checks. The beneficiaries in all cases were the moderates, country clubbers and conservatives seen most likely to align with the interests of the consultant oligarchy.

Appx $500k was spent putting a string of Republican Candidates on the ballot in hopeless districts. Each of these will get 1-5 Convention Delegates to the State Party. In some cases, slate mail cards were purchased.

The above two expenditures are the reason why I estimate that the Consultant Oligarchy has direct control of half the delegates to the CAGOP and has sway over another 25%.

Appx $6 Million was spent on an array of legislative races. AD12 saw Mr. Munger invest heavily defeating stalwart Conservative Ken Vogel in favor of the socially liberal Heath Flora. AD12 is one of a handful of safe Republican Assembly seats. I also mentioned three other races that saw significant expenditures – there were others.

To the best of my knowledge, there were few, if any other significant independent efforts on behalf of Republicans by other groups (other than CREPAC). It could be said that Charles Munger is about the only game in town for Republicans looking to do independent (or benefit from) expenditures. The usual suspects participated with Munger on a much smaller scale.

Everyone has a theory for why the CAGOP has gone in to the toilet. Let me summarize the most popular:

  1. Pro-Life is a loser
  2. Yes on Prop 8 is a loser
  3. Prop 187 (the English Only thing) from 24 years ago stil haunts the GOP
  4. Failure to do minority outreach

But the one you never hear is about the shrinking oligarchy that has systematically centralized control over candidate recruitment, finance and the day to day operations of the party itself. The California Republican Party has become the Consultant Party, not the Activist Party.

The problem is, when so many of the activists are flawed, contemptible, personally corrupt people – can you blame those with Money for spending a ton of it trying to keep them out? Their unstable behavior certainly makes those seeking to buy control of everything have a much easier time justifying why.

Welcome to the Placer GOP Cent Com fight. The leaders of the opposition – who I agree with on the issues of the day (even though at least two of them were not Trump Supporters) are people I neither trust nor respect.

In Ohio, just yesterday, the John Kasich team was swept out of power by the Trump supporters. In the prior election, Trump decimated the democrats from top to bottom in Ohio. In California, many on the Conservative side and liberal side missed the Trump Train completely. In fact, the new CAGOP Vice Chair was a nevertrumper, a former CAGOP Chair was the leader of it in California and still another Conservative Blogger/Consultant from Orange County admitted in his recent post advocating for people to unify behind Trump that he did his part to help Trump lose California by 4.28 Million Votes! (He also lost his seat on the OCGOP courtesy of the effort led by the Consultant Oligarchy)

California is Special. We seem to be immune from what other states are learning and figuring out. Ohio and Iowa don’t look to be so swingy any more, they look light red. Wisconsin has gone GOP top to bottom because of strong leadership with a clear vision…

… I believe Jim Brulte has a vision. I support his re-election as State Chair. But, beyond him where is it?

I am not sure if Kristen Olsen the newly appointed CAGOP Vice-Chair has such a vision as she was virulently Anti-Trump.

I take note that Anti-Trump David Hadley was unseated. Anti-Trump Scott Jones lost a Congressional Race he should have won. Jeff Denham and David Valadao – who were hammered by the dems over trump – never publicly bailed on trump and both survived.

Has Kristen Olsen figured this dynamic out yet? Has the consultant oligarchy figured this out yet?

What are any of the aforementioned going to do to invigorate the party? Or is it simply about control as I am of the belief that it is.

And back again to the Placer GOP. The three “conservative leaders” also fail both of the above tests. They lack vision, but crave control. However, the actions of the Consultant Oligarchy have basically justified their behavior, reinforcing the concept of the donors and party insiders taking over everything. What a great circle. The Consultants taking control of everything and the Activists fighting against it, causing the consultants to use their insane, unstable behavior as a justification to spend more money.

AS I wrote at the beginning, I have no idea who will win the leadership war in Placer. I am publicly supporting the “establishment guy” Dennis Revell.

What I can tell you  with certainty is this. If the opposition wins, there will be no money for the Placer GOP, because these so-called fiscal conservatives are deign to put their own money behind their activism (even though in my estimation, both Ken Campbell and Thomas N Hudson are multi-millionaires). If Mr. Revell and company win, will the Consultant Oligarchy abandon him once again as they did in 2012 when he was first elected?

You know what I think the answer is. Look at California – if it was not for Jim Brulte, the CAGOP would be dead. And, ironically, if it was not for millions spent registering voters by Charles Munger, the state GOP would already be at 20%.