So Doug Ose is toying with a run for governor. Like Travis Allen, he is pro-choice and soft on the immigration issue. Like Travis Allen, you’d assume he would be playing to the Trump base. Unlike Travis Allen, Doug Ose was actually a Trump delegate to the Republican National Convention. This will create a bizarre dynamic between the two fighting for the Trump remnant in California.
As a Congressman, Doug Ose’s record is one that would fit in well with the Cap and Trade Republicans who claim that environmental extremism is the key to the promised land for the GOP. When he was not voting against the unborn victims of violence act 5 times, Ose voted for things like Mohair Subsidies and in opposition to drilling for oil at least 4 separate times. He also voted against even modest spending cuts and consistently for increased environmental regulations.
Currently, there are 2 GOP Spoilers running: a marginal candidate named Staysi Barth who has not raised enough money to file electronically and Travis Allen whose ceiling is no more than $500k. While Ose could write himself a check for $3-$5 Million Dollards, (remember, he set fire to $7.8 Million in 2008 attempting to win CA04 over McClintock) why would he?
Democrat John Chiang has raised a ton of money. Gavin any-two-three-four-or-moresome Newsom is the presumptive front-runner with a bank vault (and subject of sexual harassment allegations like many democrat officeholders). Delaine Eastin will get a few votes and a few dollars, and the erstwhile Rico Suave candidate (no, not Travis Allen) Antonio Villariagosa has a lot of money to spend as well…
Right now, with two also ran Republicans, John Cox has a decent chance of making the top-two runoff because of the four democrats with resources. With Doug Ose and several million of his own coming in to the race, the odds of 2 democrats making the fall runoff become an almost certainty. This will doom Republicans to depressed turnout once again with no candidates for major office on the fall ballot. This dynamic will make it difficult to defend the few congress seats we still have in California, while complicating efforts to get back over the 1/3 threshold.
No one that looks at the math can draw any other conclusion that a serious Doug Ose for Governor Campaign has the effect of eliminating Republicans from Contention all together.
Meanwhile, the GOP has no candidate for Controller or Treasurer. #EPICFAIL