You’d think Quinnipiac – known as the Q-Poll would take a long, hard look at their sampling after 2016. However, it is clear that the Q-Poll has an agenda. This time, it is clear to create a false narrative about Trump and his approval ratings.
The poll claimed that Trump was underwater 36-58. It also claimed that the #1 word most associated with Trump was Idiot.
The Sample? 24% Republican, 34% Democrat, 35% Indie (2-1 Dem Lean), 8% other. Note that “Other” got 5.1% of the vote in 2016. The 2016 result was D +3.6 Turnout.
This sample assumes that less than 1/4 of the electorate is Republican and that the “Other” Category is 60% higher than it was just 6 months ago. By using left-leaning independents, which suggests that this sample would skew the result 12-15 points easily to the left.
Also note, they interviewed voters in Spanish and used REGISTERED voters. When you do Spanish calls and registered voters – both skew results to the left in addition.
Spanish-speaking voters (legal and illegal) favor democrats 8-1.
Registered Voter polls historically lean 2-3 points to the left, as the super low propensity voters tend to be poorer, more likely single and more likely to be on welfare than the rest of the electorate. By using registered voters, you are bringing people that are very unreliable and uninformed in the the polling sample that could also be influenced by the way the questions are asked.
It is my opinion that the motivation for this is to fool democrat donors in to giving money for losing races and an attempt to try to scare Republican donors off. This was consistent in 2016 when the polls were way off on the election.
Here are some examples of how poorly Quinnipiac did in 2016:
Quinnipiac said Donald Trump was going to lose North Carolina and Florida. They missed NC by 5.7 and Florida by 2.2. They underestimated Trump’s win in Ohio by 3.1.
Q-Poll had Clinton winning by as much as 14 in the summer.
Look no further than the democrats chasing an R+20 seat in Kansas. While they caught the feckless (now Congressman) flat-footed, they spent $2 million to lose. They actually believe these biased polls.
The democrats are now in to John Ossoff, a 30 year old staffer that lives with a Woman he is not married to in Georgia, a whopping $22 Million. Take a look at this ad from the Republicans highlighting the millions poured in to him by California donors.
The democrats are pouring money in to Montana. They are claiming that Rob Quist, a cowboy performer in nudist camps is within 6 Points of the Republican candidate to replace now Secretary of the Interior Ryan Zinke. Montana went for Trump by 20 points and has an at-large congressional district. (MT-AL is what they call it)
The media was bragging that the Omaha Mayor’s Race was going to be a referendum on Donald Trump – similar to all the other elections lost since Trump got inaugurated the Democrats spent a ton of money and lost. The Republican won by 7 points. Clinton won Omaha by 10. NE-02 went for Trump by 3.3 and famously was the first time a state split its’ electors in 2008 when Obama carried it.
Add to this, the democrats went in search of wins in Blue States in state level special elections. There were four failures as of March.
Actual election results are telling the real story about Donald Trump’s effectiveness and popularity. Remember, the same media that is pushing the Russia did it Lie will carry rigged, fake polls forever.