3039 total offenders*
375 in current violation*
3039 total offenders*
375 in current violation*
What If I told you that in 2015, there were 800 CCW Permits in all of Orange County, yet over 9,300 today? Wouldn’t that make you wonder what Stan Sniff’s problem is in Riverside? Orange County went to a municipal bankruptcy in the 1990’s and is only marginally better off than Riverside County. Yet, Somehow they have figured out how to have a 10-fold increase in CCW Permits to accommodate demand.
A little more than 2½ years ago, there only were about 800 active CCW permits in Orange County, with two professional staff members handling the application process.
Now there are more than 9,300 active CCW permits in O.C. — an avalanche-like surge in demand that has forced the creation of an entire department within the OCSD, the Carry a Concealed Weapon (CCW) Licensing Unit, which employs more than two-dozen sworn and professional staff.
Applicants for CCWs run the gamut, from students to owners of Fortune 500 businesses to plumbers, lawyers and elected officials.
In 2009, in one of Sheriff Sniff’s many arguments with the Riverside County Board of Supervisors, Sniff was admonished to start issuing more CCW Permits. Back then, there were about 500 of them. Today, there are about 2700 – 3.5 times less than Orange County over a period of time three times as long. This is a key quote from the 2009 article:
According to Undersheriff Valerie Hill, roughly 500 county residents have concealed carry permits. “We take (the issuance of permits) very seriously,” she told the board. “Every time we issue a permit, it’s a liability for the county.”
Got it? The allegedly pro-gun sheriff looks at CCW Permits as a liability. Wrong answer, but this is the answer of a Richard Roth endorsing anti-gun liberal. People have been banging the CCW permit drum for nearly 10 years and the Sheriff has ignored them.
Stone highlighted the prospective release of 27,000 inmates in the next six months from California prisons and the impact that might have on public safety as one of the motivating factors behind the resolution, which Sheriff Stan Sniff has the option — but not the obligation — to act upon.
In 2009, then Supervisor Jeff Stone was sounding the alarm over “Fed Kicks” and their effect on crime. As we’ve written about ,the Sheriff did not plan to staff jails or address this problem either. This has been a consistent failure pattern with Sheriff Sniff and we will have more to say about the legacy of his leadership on enforcement and incarceration.
Back to Orange County:
Now, Stiverson says, the OCSD — after staffing up and relocating the CCW Licensing Unit to larger offices — usually is able to see an applicant for his or her initial CCW appointment within two to six months depending on fluctuations in public demand and unit staffing levels. The agency’s target goal is to reduce initial appointment wait times to less than two months.
Sheriff Sniff’s department sees wait times of at least 24 months. (Unless you are a “friend” of the sheriff) We’ve documented these horrendous wait times in several articles. The Orange County Sheriff’s department provides an interesting contrast. The bungling of Sheriff Sniff has also caused several cities to spend some of their limited resources processing CCW permits at their local level as well.
If Sheriff Sniff was truly committed to issuing CCW permits to anyone that is not a donor or a buddy, he’d have addressed the issue in a similar manner to Orange County. Nowhere in the Orange County article do you hear their department calling CCW permits a “liability”. This contrast is yet another reason for people once supportive of the Sheriff to fire him from office.
I had to buy more bandwidth because of the record levels of visitors
Apparently 25.6% GOP registration seems to be too high in California.
Travis Allen has set out on a suicide mission for Governor and has anointed Tyler Diep for AD72. This dynamic has caused your intrepid blogger to look for answers as to who Young Mr. Diep is.
On his website Tyler Diep brags about his “public service” but what you won’t see on his website is that in his career of working on taxpayer dollars Diep has made quite a living at the expense of Orange County Taxpayers.
City Councilman of Westminster pay and Benefits $26,056
California Board of Equalization Tax Specialist $94,818 (Full Time Job)
Orange County Consulting Contract $25,000 (For 6 months)
In addition to all of this Tyler is an elected member of the Midway Sanitation District. I’m trying to track down that information, but as recently as 2014 he was paid another $26,000 in pay and benefits.
Has Tyler ever worked a non-government job in his young life?
Four government jobs totaling about $170k, all paid for by us. Not a bad haul for a 30-something!
It is a fair question to ask if his latest government job will be on the job training.
Can we afford a quadruple-diep in the Assembly?
I am learning that there is a movement afoot to allow Chad Mayes to resign and keep his ego in tact. In essence, it is to be a soft landing allowing him to resign without having to acknowledge the disastrous consequences of his tenure – including losing AD60, AD65 and AD66 in 2016. This leads right back to a post from a week ago about the coronation of Jay Obernolte.
The consensus appears to be avoiding conflict at all costs – similar to the feckless pattern I’ve seen in Republican ranks for years – even if it means retaining the mortally wounded Chad Mayes for a few extra face-saving months. Some members are alleged to be privately telling potential suitors for leadership positions that they will vote to retain Chad Mayes if there is a fight versus a peaceful transition.
The situation is complicated as Mayes is alleged to have a cadre of sycophants helping him hold together amidst the firestorm related to his personal and leadership failures.
Melissa Melendez is making calls as well as Jay Obernolte to members of the Assembly in an attempt to see if they can get critical mass to be selected as the next caucus leader.
If you want to call some of these folks to register your opinion, their office numbers are simple to derive. Dial 916-319-20XX. XX=District Number. For example Chad Mayes is 916-319-2042
All this said, Here is my take and where everyone stands as of now: Click here to see the caucus webpage
CHAD MAYES Assembly Republican Leader, District 42 – obviously, he is voting for himself
DANTE ACOSTA Assembly District 38 – Was opposed to Cap and Trade because he did not like the deal. It is likely he is a vote to retain Mayes, but has made no definitive statements
TRAVIS ALLEN Assembly District 72 – Is running for Governor to everyone’s right. There is no way he supports retaining Mayes, who he supports for leader is unknown although it is alleged he is negotiating a deal with those interested
CATHARINE BAKER Assembly District 16 – Is the most liberal member of the Caucus. She is largely given a pass for her cap and trade vote as she campaigned from the left on the environment. She is regarded as a Chad Mayes loyalist.
FRANK BIGELOW Assembly District 5 – Was a yes vote on Cap and Trade who voted no as he was not needed. (We detailed his twitter activity as evidence) He has been part of Mayes’ Leadership Team from the beginning. It is a reasonable conclusion he is a Chad Mayes loyalist.
WILLIAM “BILL” BROUGH Assembly District 73 – a hard-core Conservative, solid vote against Cap and Trade and Chad Mayes
PHILLIP CHEN Assembly District 55 – I spoke with him directly as have others. It is clear he was solidly against Cap and Trade and is lukewarn at best toward Chad Mayes.
STEVEN CHOI Assembly District 68 – was an opponent of Cap and Trade, activists in Orange County indicate he is opposed to Chad Mayes as well
ROCKY CHAVEZ Assembly District 76 – an original #CAPANDTRAITOR and Mayes Loyalist
JORDAN CUNNINGHAM Assembly District 35 – an original #CAPANDTRAITOR and likely a Mayes Loyalist
BRIAN DAHLE Assembly District 1 – voted no on Cap and Trade. Insider activity in his camp indicates that he is lukewarn on Chad Mayes at best.
HEATH FLORA Assembly District 12 – an original #CAPANDTRAITOR and likely a Mayes Loyalist
VINCE FONG Assembly District 34 – a rumored, never real candidate against Chad Mayes for leader. Definately opposed to Chad Mayes
JAMES GALLAGHER Assembly District 3 – was an opponent of Cap and Trade from the beginning. Is regarded as being close to Chad Mayes, however this could be changing as some of his allies in the assembly are off the reservation.
MATTHEW HARPER Assembly District 74 – was an opponent of Cap and Trade, yet has been non-committal regarding leadership, roiling activists in Orange County.
KEVIN KILEY Assembly District 6 – responded to me directly about his consistent from the beginning opposition to Cap and Trade. I’ve yet to get comment from him regarding Chad Mayes, some staffers are claiming he is a yes vote. I will be contacting his office shortly.
TOM LACKEY Assembly District 36 – was an outspoken opponent of Cap and Trade within the Caucus. It is likely he is not on the Chad Mayes bandwagon either.
BRIAN MAIENSCHEIN Assembly District 77 – voted yes on a couple Cap and Trade procedural votes before opposing the final reading. Unclear his stance on Mayes.
DEVON MATHIS Assembly District 26 – shocked many with his apparently sudden vote in favor of Cap and Trade. Counting him as a Mayes Vote is also as unpredictable
MELISSA MELENDEZ Assembly District 67 – has been put in the “Dog House” by Chad Mayes.
JAY OBERNOLTE Assembly District 33 – rumored favorite to replace Chad Mayes. Looks more likely as he has not been retaliated against and “The Deal” is in the works.
JIM PATTERSON Assembly District 23 – openly hostile to Cap and Trade and Chad Mayes.
MARC STEINORTH Assembly District 40 – original #CAPANDTRAITOR. As a side note, he hates Jay Obernolte with a purple passion.
RANDY VOEPEL Assembly District 71 – have yet to see him make a bad vote. Unclear where he stands on Mayes.
MARIE WALDRON Assembly District 75 – she is a hard-core conservative who opposed the Cap and Trade disaster. However, she has been confirmed to be a Chad Mayes loyalist.
As you can see, it is far from a foregone conclusion that Chad Mayes will lose his post as Assembly Permanent Minority Leader. This alone should be cause for activists and those of us left in California that have not gone insane to burn the whole thing down. I fear that many in the Assembly that are tone-deaf to the grassroots, regardless of their vote on Cap and Trade are going to have to feel the fire if indeed Mr. Mayes is allowed to continue to infest the office of Minority Leader.
As the lynch mobs have been burning the countryside in search of #CAPANDTRAITORS, your intrepid blogger is weighing in to provide some information:
Hi Aaron,Thanks for the message. I was a firm no, and everyone was well aware of that. I’ve spoken against it strongly in all of my public remarks in recent weeks, such as yesterday’s Rocklin Chamber GRC breakfast and last week’s town hall.Kevin
I spoke, texted, messaged, etc. several members of the legislature. I won’t list their names in order to comply with some of their wishes to be off the record. This is a commentary on what I heard.
I have to start out by giving props to two of the most insane people I’ve ever met in politics – Ken Campbell and Thomas N Hudson, the CRA’s Pol-Pot Bellied Information Minister – both of these guys have serious personal issues but many years ago they both warned me about the power of Sacramento and what it does to people.
Ken Campbell in particular told me that you have to evaluate everyone by their personal core convictions and nothing else matters. Over the last 20 years, I’ve seen this play out repeatedly. Some of the biggest conservative frauds fell prey to their ego and self-importance. Liberals? They have no core convictions, so when a liberal / moderate / RINO collaborate with the commie-lib-socialists in Sacramento I was never surprised. Campbell’s problem is that his definition of Conservative changed with his medication levels, but if you took his advice and removed his insanity from it, it was spot on.
Thomas N Hudson, whose political life is replete with the skeletons of people he has skewered in his quest to be right, told me that Republican politicians that cut deals with democrats are fools.
Maurice Johannesen, Anthony Peschetti, Anthony Adams, Dick Dickerson, Abel Maldonado, Roger Niello and many others reside in the dust heap of political history after cutting a deal for things far, far less onerous than AB398. All saw their “deals” rescinded the very next legislative cycle as the democrats resent having to make a deal with anyone to serve their god of government.
Many of the liberals supported Proposition 14, which has created a shooting gallery for special interests. This has enabled PG&E, Chevron (two of the biggest winners from the wealth transfer known as Cap and Trade), the Realtors, the Dentists and the Charles Munger funded Spirit of Democracy to spend millions hunting principled conservatives. Rocky Chavez, Heath Flora and other Cap and Trade Supporters benefited from millions of this largess.
The same group spent huge on California Republican Party Central Committee Races and now that has come home to roost.
Chad Mayes, the morally and ethically challenged Assembly Minority Leader led 7 members of the Republican Caucus to vote for “Cap and Trade”. Senator Tom Berryhill was the 8th.
Cap and Trade is a tax on industry in the name of air pollution. These republican leaders believed that by engaging in this process that they could somehow make AB32 / SB32 less onerous on Californians. In so doing, they gave blessing to the second largest tax increase in California History.
In so doing, they put the Republican label on idling tickets hammering Truck Drivers. In so doing, they gave the GOP label to another ($.40-$1.40 depending on who you listen to) additional per gallon gasoline tax.
When I had the flooring put in to my house, it had a “CARB Compliant” sticker on it. How much you want to bet some poor person in Mississippi whose income is less than half of mine is buying the exact same flooring whose cost is inflated by the Republican Leadership backed plan?
How about that $15 hammer at Home Depot? Their prices are the same in the lower 48 states. This means that the poor of Arkansas are subsidizing the horrendous costs of doing business in California.
We are lectured that we need to get millenial voters. Millenials love the environment, so the solution is to jack up the cost of living and tax the poor?
We are lectured that we need to get latino voters, so the solution is to torch family farmers, replacing them with corporate farms living large off of my tax dollars (see also farm subsidies which were larded in to this cap and trade bill en masse) who lay off dozens of workers through consolidation?
Years ago I was told it was abortion is a loser. I watched the democrats attack Tom McClintock in 2002 relentlessly over abortion while the liberals in charge of the California GOP poured $10 million in to the feckless Greg Conlon instead of McClintock who lost by 30,000 votes. It wasn’t abortion, it was the Republican Leadership refusing to support a Conservative. McClintock gets $1 Million he’d have won.
Years ago I was told we have to soften our stance on Gay Rights. Once Marriage was gutted, bakers are getting $130,000 fines for not doing cakes for gay weddings, Churches are getting threatened, dudes are marching down main street with a dress on and said pride celebrations involve having sex on sidewalks. Somehow, some in GOP leadership think endorsing these sorts of gateway drugs to societal dissolution are a good thing.
Years ago I was told we are too strident on Gun Rights. Now we have Republicans voting on Magazine Bans, and turning people that bought guns legally in to convicts after the fact.
Years ago I was told we have to support tax increases in certain circumstances because the system is broken. It wasn’t just small tax increases like Measure J, they have gone all out on Car Taxes, Sales Taxes, Massive Bonds, Massive Fee Increases and a potpourri that has seen the state budget detonate in to a third world mess.
I looked at the party platform again and read it. I was looking for anything in the California Republican Party platform that has been unturned by Republican “leaders” in the last few years.
I couldn’t find anything. Perhaps this is why some of the few remaining donors want to gut the platform so it means nothing. There is nothing like removing the measuring stick in order to escape accountability.
Remember the Central Committees? Yeah, the donors spent a couple million gutting crazy tea partiers, trumpanzees, conservatives and anyone else branded as a malcontents off of County Parties. Now the very people that would be screaming the loudest were all rounded up and shot politically by the same donor class fully invested in this horrifying prostitution of Republican values. Most of the Central Committees are controlled by legislative staff and political consultants.
Some wondered why I wrote about Chad Mayes cheating on his wife with Kristen Olsen the current CRP Vice Chair (who also cheated on her husband). Both claim Christian Faith and wear it out there publicly. Mr Mayes morally bankrupt personal behavior means something when you are looking for answers as to why our leaders consistently betray Republican values. Both are party leaders, and both need to resign their leadership posts – even though my profile of both of them says it will not happen.
So I sit here asking myself, what do I tell Republicans is the reason why to stay Republican? Why should a non-Republican register Republican? My pastor once said, don’t let Christians keep you away from Christ. It is still pretty difficult to become a Christian if public examples of Christians sleep with other people’s spouses. It is pretty difficult to talk someone in to joining a GOP grassroots group, much less registering as a Republican when the leaders of the party represent Democrat Party Values.
I am going to stay a Republican. I am going to continue lighting a torch and burning everything down. The current slogan of the CAGOP is rebuilding from the ground up… but there is still something left of the old regime. I am afraid it all needs to be burnt to the ground, purged and the ashes used to fertilize a completely new apparatus. My new slogan is BURN IT DOWN.
I had a legislative chief of staff tell me there is no place for Conservatives in California, and he was serious as he lamented his own irrelevance. The GOP leadership know in their hearts that the California GOP is on life support and desperately wanted to be relevant, and in the process they killed the California Republican Party.
I’ll be dammed if the most paranoid fantasies of Ken Campbell and Thomas N Hudson are coming true.
People always lambaste the GOP for being behind the times, lacking the technical savvy to get the vaunted Millennial Voters. Not being able to adjust to current times, etc.
I lambasted Travis Allen for getting zero new page likes in a campaign week. I received a call from his campaign manager, showing me a graphic representation of his page metrics indicating he got 7,000 likes within the most recent week. I’ll take his word for it as the chart looked real.
California has 34 Million people and cast something like 13 million votes for President. Getting 7,000 page likes on Facebook, with an average interaction rate of less than 2% is not going to accomplish much. Worse, if I did an analysis of ANY, not just Travis Allen’s page, I’d lay odds that half of his likes can’t vote for him.
However, Allen has 308,000 likes, developed over several years of advertising, I’d have expected more than this. Let’s be real, Travis Allen will have little or no resources. Al “Richard” Ramirez ran for US Senate and raised $1.98. He had 300,000 followers on twitter. He did not get 300,000 votes.
I wish Mr. Allen luck with his 7,000 new page likes, but compared to Hadley he at least has a semi clue related to internet marketing.
David Hadley has next to no Faecbook presence and it appears that Jeff Roe has him on a highway to digital hell. (Jeff Roe is the over-priced national big shot consultant of recent ethically-challenged Ted Cruz campaign fame, who was brought in by Hadley’s fellow #nevertrumpers to run his campaign)
Count em – 5 ads on a single web page. 5(!)
David Hadley is going to need several $1 Million Donors in order to get anywhere at this rate of waste.
The GOP legislative leadership (note the difference between CAGOP Party Leadership) have at least been trying to get more tech savvy and have been trying to reach out on social media. It appears that the people that connected Mr. Hadley with Jeff Roe must have grossly overestimated Mr. Roe’s skills with internet advertising. It also appears that they forgot to housebreak David Hadley on internet marketing while recruiting him to run for Governor.
I do have a suggestion for Mr. Hadley, (When he is not cussing a blue streak about John Cox at the AD66 GOP Dinner…) maybe he should terminate his contract with Jeff Roe and hire a couple nerds off of Craig’s List to do his internet stuff. He’d save a lot of money, and his advertisements would not be bunched up.
This is the latest in what looks to be a long and evolving string of David Hadley / Jeff Roe #EPICFAIL Updates.
Update: Here is the chart from Travis Allen’s Campaign people:
First – the release from John Cox for Governor:
Sacramento, CA – Republican Businessman John Cox is announcing that he will be contributing his next $2 million into his campaign to be California’s next Governor. Cox made an initial $1 million contribution when announcing his campaign and has also more than 1,300 individual contributors from across California.
“All over the country fiscally conservative business people have been elected governor in so-called ‘safe Democrat states’ – just look at Maryland, Massachusetts and Illinois, and I think we can do the same here in California in 2018,” noted Cox.
“My campaign is one of ideas and I believe it’s worth the personal investment, because the political class in Sacramento has failed all of us, regardless of our political affiliation. I am a CPA and I can tell you the only way out of the unfunded liabilities they’ve created is economic growth. It’s time to set California’s fiscal house in order.”
Since John Cox announced for Governor he has received endorsements and support from Republican grassroots leaders, local elected officials, volunteers, and small business people across California.
“I am irrevocably committed to this campaign and defeating Gavin Newsom or any other Democrat, and uniting the Republican Party behind a strong ticket for 2018.”
John Cox is a husband, father, businessman and Republican candidate for California Governor in 2018. Born and raised on the south-side of Chicago by a single mother public school teacher, John is a CPA who built his small business from the ground up. He is a longtime government reform advocate and conservative, and is running to eliminate the corrupting influence of special interest money that has made California the high-tax and regulation leader of the nation.
Spoiler #1: San Diego Mayor Kevin Faulconer, he of the recent municipal tax increase.
Spoiler #2: Former Assembly-member David Hadley, he who gutted a recall effort of the current Assembly-member in his home district while allegedly running for governor. This is the same Hadley that got shellacked in AD66 by 8 points despite going in to the race with $1 Million in the bank. (Note, there are 80 Assembly districts in California, I wonder how he’d do in the other 79?)
Spoiler #3: Assembly-Member Travis Allen, noted playboy and maverick. He will have no institutional support as I am told and would thus be attempting to take the fringe mantle from the disaster known as Tim Donnelly. But, hey, he has the keyboard commandos impressed with his facebook ads! All this and Mr. Allen would have to forego his last 3 terms in the Assembly to run.
Spoiler #4: Former Assembly-member Tim Donnelly. Are the voices in his head telling him he has another mission from God? Or was that this week’s campaign
Spoiler #5: The fact that I have gotten past spoiler #1 and have not mentioned Attorney General, Lt. Gov, Secretary of State, Controller, Treasurer, Insurance Commissioner or Teacher’s Union Rep (aka Superintendent of education) is absurd. The above 4 spoilers could fill some of these positions on the ballot!
Spoiler #6: $3 Million. More than the total fundraising potential of spoilers #1-4.
SB96 is a bill that will pass the California State Senate today. It changes the rules of a recall election. The Media spin on this was for the obvious reason of saving embattled and extremely vulnerable State Senator Josh Newman who won his election by less than 2,000 votes in 2016.
I got some news for the news – Newman will lose no matter when the recall election is.
SB96 does the following – (which will have the effect of delaying the certification of Recall until after the 12/7 deadline. 12/7 is significant as the Governor could consolidate the Recall onto the next regularly scheduled election.)
It would be easy to stop here and say, gheez, they are changing the rules to save Josh Newman. All this does is keep Newman in office 6 months longer, it is not worth the bad PR and the residual bad blood post tax increase.
The real reason as I have learned from both a well-placed Capitol Source and a Labor Union Source is much more sinister.
The California Nurses Association have declared war against all opponents of the Single-Payer Healthcare Bill. The Nurses association is the second most powerful union behind the SEIU. They are fast becoming the most powerful.
They believe they are entitled to $250k a year salaries with lifetime retirement benefits at all of our expense. If single payer passes, the biggest winners would be the Nurses. The biggest losers, of course are all of us whose healthcare would be rationed and provided by the same people that brought us the DMV.
The Single-Payer Bill only passed the Senate 23-14, but did so with massive arm twisting and intimidation by the Nurses.
The Nurses are stalking assemblymembers and threatening to Recall them if the bill does not pass. The votes are not currently there in the Assembly to pass the bill.
Connect the dots.
With the proposed rules of SB96, recalling an assemblymember becomes impractical. With the vulnerable Josh Newman as cover – SB96 is brilliant in what it accomplishes. You would have to start a recall of an assemblymember in an even-numbered year, which guarantees its’ failure to qualify (because the assemblymember is already on the ballot). Or, you would have to start the recall right after the election (which you can’t do for 60 days anyway). This means, you have about a 3 month window to effect a recall of an Assemblymember, to have the recall election NOT be consolidated with the following regular election.
Even with all of the money and power the Nurses Union has, they could not overcome these obstacles.
I have to tip my cap to the democrats with SB96. This is one of the most brilliant bills I’ve seen from them in a long time.